The latest opinion poll has come out as a shocker to Deputy President William Ruto and his supporters with the poll revealing that he has an uphill task in his quest to succeed president Uhuru Kenyatta.
The poll by Radio Africa Limited indicates that DP Ruto is the clear front runner in the 2022 race with 29 percent ahead of his closest competitor Raila Odinga.
According to the poll which was conducted between July 22 and 30 has DP Ruto leading at 43 per but still short of the 50 per cent plus one vote required to win the presidential contest in the first round.
The central Kenya region may not be in the bag for DP Ruto as only 49 percent would vote for him according to the poll.
This is a setback as Ruto allies from the region have been all over the place exuding confidence that the region is with the Hustler movement almost to the last man.
It would appear, going by the polls that the politicians from the region may be lying to the second in command at a time when things could be looking bad on the ground for a region where he needs a convincing win to ascend to the presidency.
Ruto’s highest support appears to be in South Rift at 59 per cent and North Rift at 56 per cent.
The poll also revealed that 15 per cent of the 3,127 adults polled across the 47 counties said they are still undecided on who they would vote for.
North Eastern leads in the number of undecided voters at 24 per cent followed by Nairobi (21 per cent), Upper Eastern (20 per cent) and Central (20).
The regions with the lowest number of undecided voters are Nyanza (five per cent), Lower Eastern (six per cent) and South Rift (nine per cent).
The undecided could be waiting for the formation of the final coalitions and the selection of running mates.
The poll reflects sentiments shared by President Uhuru Kenyatta in meetings with Raila and other former Nasa principals.
The President is reported to have told ANC leader Musalia Mudavadi, Wiper Leader Kalonzo Musyoka, Ford Kenya leader Moses Wetang’ula and Moi that they should unite and support Raila.
He is said to have shown them polls indicating the only way to beat his deputy — with whom he has fallen out — is to unite and support Raila.
The poll shows Mudavadi shares the fourth position, with Machakos Governor Alfred Mutua with three per cent support.
Kalonzo takes the fifth position with two per cent alongside Mombasa Governor Hassan Joho. The sixth position goes to Makueni Governor Kivutha Kibwana, with one per cent support.
Other candidates would get the remaining one per cent of the votes.
On demographics, 44 per cent of the men polled would vote for Ruto while 42 per cent of women would with his highest support coming from those aged between 18 and 24 and 30 to 39 years.
Raila attracts 16 per cent of the male respondents and 13 per cent of the women, with his support coming mostly from those aged above 40 years.
Ruto scores highly in all regions, except Nyanza where 37 per cent said they would vote for him, compared to 39 per cent who said they would vote for Raila.