Although he began by making it clear that he is in the Azimio La Umoja One Kenya Alliance Coalition Party outfit to stay and has no plan of joining president William Ruto’s Kenya Kwanza Alliance, the outspoken legislator wondered how blind he could have been when all the signs and signals were clearly pointing at a William Ruto win.
Daadab constituency member of parliament Farah Maalim was speaking while making an appearance on KTN News’ political show Siasa Fiesta which was hosted by the station’s presenter Debarl Ainea. Alongside Maalim in the studio were Kitui Central MP Makali Mulu, and former Jubilee Party nominated senator Isaac Mwaura.
Blaming the loss of Raila Odinga on a shambolic agents’ system which ensured that party personnel weren’t spread far and wide enough to protect Raila’s votes, Maalim wondered how he could have missed such a glaring red-flag. Narrating how he has always voted for an Odinga beginning with Raila’s father in 1992, he revealed that he had promised himself he would never again back a loosing horse.
In the last opinion poll by Ipsos Synovate days to the election, Azimio One Kenya Coalition presidential candidate Raila Odinga had opened a 6-point gap against Kenya Kwanza Presidential candidate William Ruto.
According to the poll, Mr. Odinga was the most preferred presidential candidate at 47 percent against Dr Ruto at 41 percent.
The poll carried out between 23rd -26 July and after the presidential debate held between 27-30 July 2022 also placed Roots Party Presidential candidate George Wajackoyah a distant third with a rating of 2.9 percent while Waihiga Mwaura had a rating of 0.2 percent.
According to Samuel Muthoka, the director of research at Ipsos, the number of undecided voters stood at 4 percent and with the ability that Mr Odinga had converted half of the undecided voters, he would have a first round win.
“From this research, if Mr Odinga converts half of the undecided voters he will have a first round win while of Mr Ruto will convert half of the undecided voters, he will force a re-run of the election,” Mr Muthoka said at the time.
The poll sampled 6,105 households spread across 47 counties in the country. Only registered voters were involved and face to face interviews were carried out with a marginal error +- 1.254 percent.
The survey further indicated Mr. Odinga’s had a sweet spot in relation to his legacy, as a democrat and a nationalist while Dr Ruto presented hope and had a clear plan that would benefit regular Kenyans.
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