Home » Paul Nyongesa: Why Ruto will destroy Raila beyond repair in the August polls

Paul Nyongesa: Why Ruto will destroy Raila beyond repair in the August polls

by Paul Nyongesa
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With just one months to the August general election, a clear shape of how the presidential election is likely to go is beginning to emerge, and this may not be good news for Azimio la Umoja One Kenya Alliance coalition Presidential candidate Raila Odinga.

With the latest data released by the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC), Deputy President William Ruto has an advantage of beating his arch rival Raila Odinga.

According to the IEBC official register, Mt Kenya and Rift Valley considered to be Ruto’s stronghold controls 10, 123,637 registered voters.

Recent polls also indicate that Ruto has managed to infiltrate Western Kenya which has 2,217,948 registered voters thanks to the support from Musalia Mudavadi and Moses Wetang’ula.

In the Coastal region, DP Ruto is banking on Kilifi and Kwale Governors Amason Kingi and Salim Mvurya to dislodge Raila from the region.

On Thursday, June 23, Gatundu South MP Moses Kuria similarly said there was no viable formula that could propel Raila to State House.

“I have used all formulas including Pythagoras and even dental formulas. I don’t see any single way Raila Odinga can win this election. And that is why even Uhuru Kenyatta has given up on him,” Kuria said in a Facebook post.

In an earlier poll conducted by Intel Research Solutions (IRS) sampled 17,127 respondents and predicted that Ruto would garner 51.2 per cent of the total votes cast against Raila’s 42.5 per cent.

Ruto would have met the constitutional threshold of 50 per cent plus one vote required for any candidate to be declared president-elect of an election.

Ruto was poised to beat Odinga in Mount Kenya and the Central Rift, and with a large margin while the gap in the Maa side of the Rift Valley was revealed to be minimal at 0.7 per cent.

The former Prime Minister would gain the most votes in Nairobi, 48.3 per cent, beating Ruto by three percentage points. The Coast, Northern, and South-Eastern Regions would back the Azimio candidate.

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